Esports

ALGS Open 2025 Betting Guide: What You Need to Know Before Wagering

The ALGS Open is back with 160 teams, $1 million on the line, and plenty of noise around who might take it all. If you’re here to bet, not just spectate, this breakdown is for you. We’ll go over the odds worth watching, how the format impacts your wagers, and why you shouldn’t rush into outright bets just yet.

Outright Odds – Early Favorites and Dark Horses

GG.Bet has odds up for a select list of teams—most of the field isn’t even priced, which tells you where the sharp money is going. Here are the current numbers:

Team Odds
100 Thieves 9.00 / +800
Alliance 9.00 / +800
Natus Vincere 9.00 / +800
Shopify Rebellion 9.00 / +800
Team Falcons 9.00 / +800
Virtus.pro 11.0 / +1000
Fnatic 13.0 / +1200
GREEN STEGO 13.0 / +1200
Team Liquid 15.0 / +1400
ENTER.FORCE.36 15.0 / +1400
Gaimin Gladiators 19.0 / +1800
VK Gaming 19.0 / +1800
XNY 19.0 / +1800
Activist Esports 21.0 / +2000
ENVY 21.0 / +2000
FURIA Esports 21.0 / +2000
NRG 21.0 / +2000
Al Qadsiah 26.0 / +2500
NOEZ FOXX 26.0 / +2500
Reignite 26.0 / +2500
S8UL Esports 26.0 / +2500
10k Club 34.0 / +3300
Aurora Gaming 34.0 / +3300
EXO Clan 34.0 / +3300
GoNext Esports 34.0 / +3300
GHS BoooM 41.0 / +4000
RRX 41.0 / +4000
Source Gaming 41.0 / +4000
Forbidden Gaming 51.0 / +5000
lonely let gone 51.0 / +5000
REJECT 51.0 / +5000
Rival Esports 51.0 / +5000

Odds via GG.Bet, as of April 30 – may shift closer to game time.

Format and Schedule – Why Timing Matters for Betting

The tournament runs from May 1–4, hosted at the Ernest N. Morial Convention Center in New Orleans. The key point for bettors: this format punishes inconsistency and early-round mistakes.

How it works:

  • 160 teams split into groups
  • Winners rounds cut the field in half repeatedly
  • Elimination rounds do the same, but give dropped teams a second shot
  • Final 20 fight in a Match Point format: hit 50 points, then win a match to take it all

It’s chaotic. It rewards momentum and survival instincts more than reputation or seeding.

Don’t Bet Outrights Yet—Here’s Why

Yes, the top names are tempting. But in a battle royale tournament with this much volatility, picking a winner before the first drop is mostly guesswork.

Unless you have inside info on team scrims or last-minute roster swaps, the better move is to wait. Let the first rounds play out, identify who’s reading the lobby correctly, and only then look for value.

Even then, you’re better off playing matchday props or top-10 finishes, not tournament winners. Too much can go sideways in the Match Point format.

Regions to Watch

Americas and EMEA are still the regions with the deepest talent pools.

  • 100 Thieves, NRG, and Shopify have strong LAN pedigree.
  • Alliance, NAVI, and Virtus.pro have looked sharp online—but LAN’s a different beast.
  • Team Falcons is getting a lot of attention, but they’ll need to prove they can hang internationally.

Asia-Pacific squads tend to fly under the radar in betting markets. That’s where you might find hidden value—especially teams like Fnatic, REJECT, or ENTER.FORCE.36, who’ve been quietly climbing.

Final Take

This isn’t your typical bracket-style tourney. If you’re betting on the ALGS Open, you need to think in phases—not just final outcomes. Look for:

  • Teams that play well in edge circles
  • Composure in high-pressure endgames
  • Strong IGLs with LAN experience

And above all, don’t overcommit early. Let the meta shake out, then start taking positions.

 

 

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